OHL Even Strength +/-

These are the +/- of OHL teams while at even strength as of November 27th, 2017.

 

1st: Sarnia: +35

92 GF, 57 GA

2nd: Sault Ste. Marie: +30

75 GF, 45 GA

3rd: Erie: +21

71 GF, 50 GA

4th: Kingston: +19

76 GF, 57 GA

5th: Barrie: +15

65 GF, 50 GA

T6th: Oshawa: +12

69 GF, 57 GA

T6th: Kitchener: +12

68 GF, 56 GA

T8th: Saginaw: +8

60 GF, 52 GA

T8th: London: +8

59 GF, 51 GA

10th: Hamilton: +3

54 GF, 51 GA

11th: Owen Sound: +2

72 GF, 70 GA

12th: Windsor: -4

53 GF, 57 GA

T13th: Niagara: -9

49 GF, 58 GA

T13th: Mississauga: -9

53 GF, 62 GA

15th: Sudbury: -13

68 GF, 81 GA

16th: Peterborough: -14

59 GF, 73 GA

17th: Ottawa: -16

61 GF, 77 GA

18th: Guelph: -17

51 GF, 68 GA

19th: North Bay: -23

53 GF, 76 GA

20th: Flint: -42

48 GF, 90 GA

Advertisements

Team Rankings in Points Per Game from ’00 and ’01 born players (OHL)

This is ranked in terms of points per game from 2000 and 20001 born players:

1st: Oshawa:

102 GP, 27 G, 32 A= 59 points

0.578 points per game

2nd: Barrie: 

109 GP, 25 G, 36 A= 61 points

0.559 points per game

3rd: Niagara:

59 GP, 9 G, 24 A= 33 points

0.559 points per game

4th: Peterborough:

109 GP, 18 G, 42 A= 50 points

0.495 points per game

5th: Sarnia:

76 GP, 17 G, 20 A= 37 points

0.487 points per game

6th: Guelph:

105 GP, 12 G, 30 A= 42 points

0.400 points per game

7th: Saginaw:

115 GP, 16 G, 22 A= 38 points

0.330 points per game

8th: Sault Ste. Marie:

116 GP, 12 G, 26 A= 38 points

0.328 points per game

9th: Flint:

100 GP, 17 G, 15 A= 32 points

0.320 points per game

10th: Owen Sound:

67 GP, 11 G, 10 A= 21 points

0.313 points per game

11th: North Bay:

82 GP, 7 G, 18 A= 25 points

0.304 points per game

12th: Kitchener:

73 GP, 8 G, 14 A= 22 points

0.301 points per game

13th: Ottawa:

152 GP, 16 G, 29 A= 45 points

0.296 points per game

14th: Kingston:

88 GP, 7 G, 19 A= 26 points

0.295 points per game

15th: Erie: 

92 GP, 10 G, 17 A= 27 points

0.293 points per game

16th :Sudbury:

119 GP, 12 G, 17 A= 29 points

0.244 points per game

17th: Hamilton:

68 GP, 5 G, 10 A= 15 points

0.221 points per game

18th: Mississauga:

108 GP, 8 G, 14 A= 22 points

0.204 points per game

19th: Windsor:

108 GP, 9 G, 9 A= 18 points

0.165 points per game

20th: London:

78 GP, 3 G, 7 A= 10 points

0.128 points per game

OHL Team Face-off Rankings

For this I decided to take the top 5 guys in face-offs attempted for each team and ranked the teams like that so that it’s who’s centres are doing the best and not affected by which team has the best wingers who come in five times a game to take a draw. This is including all the games before October 25, 2017.

1st: London Knights

382/656= 58.2%

  • Cliff Pu: 148/240= 61.7%
  • Robert Thomas: 110/192= 57.3%
  • Alex Turko: 60/109= 55.0%
  • Liam Foudy: 36/71= 50.7%
  • Billy Moskal: 28/44= 63.6%

2nd: Windsor Spitfires

385/671= 57.4%

  • Aaron Luchuk: 197/323= 61.0%
  • Luke Kutkevicius: 85/149= 57.0%
  • Tyler Angle: 49/100= 49.0%
  • William Sirman: 40/75= 53.3%
  • Adam Kadlec: 14/24= 58.3%

3rd: Owen Sound Attack

316/568= 55.6%

  • Nick Suzuki: 82/150= 54.7%
  • Aidan Dudas: 83/146= 56.8%
  • Kevin Hancock: 79/125= 63.2%
  • Matthew Struthers: 44/83= 53.0%
  • Mitchell Russell: 28/64= 43.8%

4th: Sarnia Sting

481/875= 55.0%

  • Drake Rymsha: 163/248= 65.7%
  • Ryan McGregor: 105/221= 47.5%
  • Adam Ruzicka: 111/200= 55.5%
  • Franco Sproviero: 59/109= 54.1%
  • Anthony Salinitri: 43/97= 44.3%

5th: Niagara Ice Dogs

345/633= 54.5%

  • Ben Jones: 114/191= 59.7%
  • Akil Thomas: 98/182= 53.8%
  • Kyle Langdon: 80/151= 53.0%
  • Matthew Philip: 40/73= 54.8%
  • Philip Tomasino: 13/36= 36.1%

6th: Sudbury Wolves

413/764= 54.1%

  • Michael Pezzetta: 120/210= 57.1%
  • Shane Bulitka: 97/171= 56.7%
  • Owen Gilhula: 56/129= 43.4%
  • David Levin: 76/129= 58.9%
  • Troy Lajeunesse: 64/125= 51.2%

7th: Kingston Frontenacs

394/747= 52.7%

  • Ted Nichol: 130/232= 56.0%
  • Tyler Burnie: 111/224= 49.6%
  • Brett Neumann: 109/199= 54.8%
  • Cody Morgan: 30/71= 42.3%
  • Nathan Dunkley: 14/21= 66.7%

8th: Oshawa Generals

377/718= 52.5%

  • Allan McShane: 111/205= 54.1%
  • Jack Studnicka: 110/198= 55.6%
  • Domenico Commisso: 60/109= 55.0%
  • Kyle MacLean: 46/109= 42.2%
  • Mason Kohn: 50/97= 51.5%

T9th: Flint Firebirds

331/650= 50.9%

  • Ryan Moore: 113/210=53.8%
  • Ty Dellandrea: 110/202=54.5%
  • Hunter Holmes: 72/144=50.0%
  • Kyle Harris: 20/53=37.7%
  • Jack Phibbs: 16/41=39.0%

T9th: Ottawa 67’s

371/729= 50.9%

  • Sasha Chmelevski: 123/207= 59.4%
  • Sam Bitten: 82/194= 42.3%
  • Austen Keating: 75/150= 50.0%
  • Travis Barron: 59/117= 50.4%
  • Mitchell Hoelscher: 32/61= 52.5%

11th: Saginaw Spirit

288/568= 50.7%

  • Brady Gilmour: 93/171= 54.4%
  • Blade Jenkins: 63/136= 46.3%
  • Max Grondin: 56/116= 48.3%
  • Aidan Prueter: 43/86= 50.0%
  • Damien Giroux: 33/59= 55.9%

12th: Peterborough Petes

410/813= 50.4%

  • Zach Gallant: 156/269= 58.0%
  • Jonathan Ang: 114/229= 49.8%
  • Semyon Der-Arguchintsev: 65/153= 42.5%
  • Nick Robertson: 44/108= 40.7%
  • Logan DeNoble: 31/54= 57.4%

13th: Guelph Storm

343/682= 50.3%

  • Cam Hillis: 98/189= 51.9%
  • Liam Hawel: 93/188= 49.5%
  • Barret Kirwin: 75/158= 47.5%
  • Nate Schnarr: 49/97= 50.5%
  • James McEwan: 28/50= 56.0%

14th: Mississauga Steelheads

312/634= 49.2%

  • Ryan McLeod: 140/258= 54.3%
  • Trent Fox: 82/171= 48.0%
  • Keean Washurak: 41/98= 41.8%
  • Jacob Cascagnette: 28/57= 49.1%
  • Cameron Gaylor: 21/50= 42.0%

15th: Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds

388/803= 48.3%

  • Hayden Verbeek: 134/251= 53.4%
  • Morgan Frost: 115/245= 46.9%
  • Barrett Hayton: 107/230= 46.5%
  • Hayden Fowler: 17/51= 33.3%
  • Boris Katchouk: 15/26= 57.7%

16th: North Bay Battalion

326/684= 47.7%

  • Adam McMaster: 79/185= 42.7%
  • Luke Burghardt: 97/180= 53.9%
  • Kyle Potts: 72/142= 50.7%
  • Brett McKenzie: 54/111= 48.6%
  • Patrick Brown: 24/66= 36.4%

17th: Hamilton Bulldogs

288/616= 46.8%

  • Brandon Saigeon: 113/210= 53.8%
  • Will Bitten: 78/158= 49.4%
  • Connor McMichael: 59/142= 41.5%
  • Mackenzie Entwistle: 32/73= 43.8%
  • Jake Murray: 6/33= 18.2%

18th: Kitchener Rangers

285/610= 46.7%

  • Riley Damiani: 67/164= 40.9%
  • Rickard Hugg: 79/160= 49.4%
  • Greg Meireles: 59/135= 43.7%
  • Connor Bunnaman: 62/114= 54.4%
  • Joseph Garreffa: 18/37= 48.6%

19th: Barrie Colts

285/629= 45.3%

  • Jason Willms: 118/225= 52.4%
  • Alexey Lipanov: 73/187= 39.0%
  • Luke Bignell: 33/84= 39.3%
  • Kyle Heitzner: 34/80= 42.5%
  • Ryan Suzuki: 27/53= 51.9%

20th: Erie Otters

239/561= 42.6%

  • Ivan Lodnia: 81/205= 39.5%
  • Gera Poddubnyi: 60/128= 46.9%
  • Alex Gritz: 35/93= 37.6%
  • Joseph Mack: 38/88= 43.2%
  • Carson Edwardson: 25/47= 53.2%

 

2017 OHL Conference Finals Predictions

WEST:

(1) Erie vs (3) Owen Sound

I firmly believe that experience is a major key to winning in junior hockey, and that’s why I have a very tough time picking Owen Sound in this series. Erie has guys with big game World Junior experience like Strome, Cirelli, T. Raddysh, Cernak and other guys who have been in multiple deep OHL playoff runs in DeBrincat, Foegele, Pettit, and D. Raddysh. Looking at Owen Sound’s top players on the other hand, they rely heavily on some young players to produce (Suzuki, Gadjovich, Sushko, Durzi are all top 8 in OS playoff scoring and all haven’t even been eligible for an NHL draft yet) which is why I was pretty surprised that Owen Sound only made 1 move at the deadline (traded a mid-round pick for Cordell James). Owen Sound is a very good team and it’s impressive that they made it to the Western Conference final doing very little at the deadline, but I think what happened the trade deadline will go a long way in determining this series. Erie adding experience and toughness in Cirelli/Foegele/Lizotte/Headrick are the kind of moves you need to win and I think that’ll push Erie over the top in this series. Home ice is big in this series as both teams are 5-1 this playoffs at home while both teams are just 3-2 on the road.

How Erie Could Win:

  • Keep Staying Out Of The Box

Erie has been shorthanded only 31 times this playoffs (15 less than Owen Sound) and if they can limit the number of times that OS gets the man advantage, then Erie will have a considerable advantage

  • Top Guns Stay Hot Against OS

This season against Owen Sound, DeBrincat had 5 G, 6 A in 6 games. T. Raddysh had 4 G, 4 A in 5 games. Strome had 2 G, 4 A in 3 games. If those 3 can keep up those kind of numbers against the Attack then Erie will be very difficult to beat.

How Owen Sound Could Win:

  • Michael McNiven steals the show

Much like we just saw with Erie/London, Owen Sound has a massive advantage in net. Troy Timpano had an awful series against London and Tyler Parsons was unbelievable. McNiven has the ability to be as good as Parsons was, and Owen Sound might need him to be if they’re going to upset the top seed in this series.

  • PK stays red hot

Owen Sound has the top rated PK of anyone still left in the OHL playoffs at 87.0%. Erie’s is way down at 74.2%, so if Owen Sound can keep that up and keep Erie from scoring powerplay goals, that would be huge for them in the series.

My Pick: Erie in 6

 

EAST:

(1) Peterborough vs (2) Mississauga

Both teams come in with nearly identical post-season special teams (Powerplay: PBO 26.1%, MISS 27.8%. Penalty Kill: PBO 75.0%, MISS 73.9%) so if one team pulls ahead in the special teams battle, obviously they’d be the favourite to win the series, but assuming they remain somewhat similar I think the biggest edge in the series is the Petes in net. Both teams have the top end scoring, Petes have more F depth, I like Mississauga’s D-men better, but the Petes are considerably ahead in goal with Dylan Wells back there.  The notion of home ice being such an advantage isn’t really a thing in this series because these are 2 of the 3 worst OHL teams in terms of attendance this season (cc: http://www.hockeydb.com/nhl-attendance/att_graph_season.php?lid=OHL1989&sid=2017). I’m very interested to see how PBO comes out to start game 1 considering they were not tested at all by Niagara or Kingston in the first 2 rounds.

 

How Peterborough Could Win:

  • Out-goaltend Them

Dylan Wells is definitely the best goalie in this series and Mississauga has some question marks in net. Mancina seemed to be playing injured against the Gens and Ingham missed the entire MISS/OSH series with an illness so Peterborough should have a big advantage in net.

  • Limit the damage of the Watson/M. McLeod/R. McLeod line

If Peterborough can limit Mississauga’s top line then they will have a very good shot to win this series. The Gens kept Michael McLeod without a goal in the entire series but Spencer Watson had 6 in the 5 game series to make up for him.

How Mississauga Could Win:

  • Get the D-men involved

If Mississauga is going to upset Peterborough, they’ll need a big series from Hague/Saarijarvi/Moverare/LeBlanc on the scoresheet. It would take a ton of pressure of the Steelheads top line if the D-men can help find the back of the net

  • Get ahead early

Petes scored first in 3/4 games vs KGN and only trailed only once in the entire series and it was only for 24:07. Mississauga scored first in 3/6 of their games in the 1st round and 3/5 of their 2nd round games. Mississauga would benefit big time from getting an early lead and being able to dictate the game that way, so scoring first could be a big advantage if they’re able to do it through the majority of the series.

My Pick: Peterborough in 6

Oshawa vs Mississauga- Round 2 Preview

Season series: 4-0 Oshawa

Oct 30: MISS 2, OSH 3 (OT)

Nov 11: OSH 5, MISS 4

Nov 16: OSH 2, MISS 1 (SO)

Jan 22: MISS 2, OSH 5

Advantage: Oshawa 

Playoffs Special Teams:

OSH PP: 8.6% (Last)

MISS PP: 25.0% (7th)

OSH PK: 84.6% (6th)

SBY PK: 78.3% (8th)

Advantage: Mississauga

Starting Goalie:

Jeremy Brodeur (4-2-0), 2.17 GAA, .935 save %

Jacob Ingham (4-2-0), 2.68 GAA, .876 save %

Advantage: Oshawa

Playoff Top Scorers:

MISS:

Michael McLeod: 6 G, 5 A, 11 P

Spencer Watson: 4 G, 5 A, 9 P

Nathan Bastian: 5 G, 2 A, 7 P

Owen Tippett: 1 G, 5 A, 6 P

OSH:

Jack Studnicka: 3 G, 4 A, 7 P

Joe Manchurek: 3 G, 3 A, 6 P

Renars Krastenbergs: 3 G, 2 A, 5 P

Domenic Commisso: 1 G, 4 A, 5 P

Advantage: Mississauga

Roster Makeup:

OSH:
96s: 3
97s: 3
98s: 7
99s: 6
00s: 4

MISS:
96s: 3
97s: 5
98s: 7
99s: 6
00s: 2

Advantage: Mississauga, they have the older roster

NHL Drafted Players:

MISS:

McLeod (NJ)

Bastian (NJ)

Watson (LAK)

Saarijarvi (DET)

Osmanski (BUF)

Moverare (LAK)

OSH:

Stillman (FLA)

Advantage: Mississauga 6-1

Projected OSH Lineup:

F:

Manchurek-Studnicka-Commisso

Krastenbergs-McShane-Huether

Henderson-Kohn-Noel

Antropov-MacLean-Burt

D:

Stillman-Mercier

Ennis-Brassard

Allen-Di Carlo

G:

Brodeur

Projected MISS Lineup:

F:

R McLeod-R McLeod-Watson

Tippett-Bastian-Fox

Boomhower-Cascagnette-Titus

Dow-Little-McFarland

D:

Moverare-Saarijarvi

LeBlanc-Hague

Osmanski-Gibson

G:

Ingham

OHL Round 1 Predictions

EAST

1 Peterborough vs 8 Niagara

The Petes bought more than anyone else in the Eastern Conference at the deadline (spent 12 picks (7 of them were 2nds), Nick Grima, CJ Clarke, and Nate MacDonald to get Korostelev/Paquette/Black/Bricknell). Petes have by far the better offence and the better goalie. With all that being said, I don’t see a young Niagara team being able to take any games from the Petes.

Prediction: PBO 4-0

2 Mississauga vs 7 Ottawa

Mississauga is by far the hottest team in the East coming into the playoffs (despite losing the last game of the season which gives them a less favourable 1st round matchup). Ottawa is able to get scoring chances better than most teams in the league, but they also give up a ton and I expect the top guys on Mississauga to take advantage of that.

It’ll also be interesting to see what MISS does in net. Mancina is the veteran and the guy they brought in to lead them, but the rookie, Jacob Ingham, has been great lately.

Prediction: MISS 4-2

3 Oshawa vs 6 Sudbury

The Gens aren’t your traditional 3 seed because of how young they are. They were able to give away the 2 best players in the Eastern Conference (Cirelli and Vande Sompel) and still managed to get a top 3 seed. Sudbury has a much older and bigger team and I expect Sudbury’s Yakimowicz, Dunda, Pilon(s) to try to bully the younger Gens all series. In the end I think Oshawa is deeper than SBY and has a much better goalie, but Sudbury has the best player in the series (Sokolov), which is always scary.

An interesting side story will be if anything carries over from the Pilon hit on Burt in the final OSH/SBY game of the regular season. Pilon hit Burt and knocked him out and Sean Allen wanted a piece of both Pilon’s but one was kicked from the game and the other wouldn’t go anywhere near Allen.

Prediction: OSH 4-2

4 Kingston vs 5 Hamilton

This will be the best East series in my opinion. Kingston is very good at shutting teams down and keeping the games low scoring but they also have a big problem scoring goals. Jason Robertson and Jeremy Helvig will need to have a huge series if Kingston is going to get out of the 1st round

Prediction: Hamilton 4-2

WEST

1 Erie vs 8 Sarnia

Your typical 1 vs 8 series. Sarnia has the potential to steal a game because Kyrou/Rymsha/Spinozzi/Fazio are some elite OHL players, but they don’t really have a chance to win this series.

Prediction: Erie 4-0

2 Sault Ste. Marie vs 7 Flint

Flint is a great story this year for making the playoffs after the disaster that was last season, but they run into an offensive buzzsaw in round 1. SSM scores with the best of them and I expected some very high scoring games in this series.

Prediction: Sault Ste. Marie 4-1

3 Owen Sound vs 7 Kitchener

Owen Sound has been the story of the OHL in the 2nd half of the season despite not really doing anything at the deadline (got Cordell James for a 4th, gave up Justin Brack for an 11th). Kitchener is pretty scary for a 7 seed because of Adam Mascherin and his ability to take over a series with his scoring ability, but I think Owen Sound is just too deep and McNiven is just too good for an upset here.

Prediction: Owen Sound 4-1

4 London vs 5 Windsor

“The Sportsnet Series” because surely Sportsnet will pick up every game between their favourite team and the Memorial Cup hosts that don’t deserve to be Memorial Cup hosts. I like London to win this series because of what they did at the deadline. Adding the talent they did (Vande Sompel, Stephens, Salituro) to a roster that already has Mete/Juolevi/Jones/Pu and maybe the best goalie in the CHL (Tyler Parsons) will make them a very tough out in this playoffs.

Prediction: London 4-2

Oshawa vs Sudbury- Round 1 Preview

Season series: 2-2

Sept 23: OSH 3, SBY 4

Oct 16: SBY 5, OSH 3

Oct 28: OSH 3, SBY 1

Nov 13: SBY 2, OSH 4

Advantage: Tie

Special Teams:

OSH PP: 18.8% (T11th)

SBY PP: 17.8% (15th)

OSH PK: 83.1% (5th)

SBY PK: 81.7% (6th)

Advantage: Oshawa

Starting Goalie:

Jeremy Brodeur (33-14-1-2), 2.84 GAA, .916 save %, 2 shutouts

Jake McGrath (17-18-6-0), 3.77 GAA, .896 save %, 1 shutout

Advantage: Oshawa

Top Scorers

SBY:

Dmitry Sokolov: 48 G, 24 A, 72 P

David Levin: 18 G, 35 A, 53 P

Macauley Carson: 30 G, 20 A, 50 P

Ryan Valentini: 18 G, 31 A, 49 P

OSH:

Domenic Commisso: 19 G, 44 A, 63 P

Eric Henderson: 22 G, 30 A, 52 P

Medric Mercier: 22 G, 30 A, 52 P

Jack Studnicka: 18 G, 34 A, 52 P

Advantage: Sudbury because of Sokolov

Roster Makeup:

OSH:
96s: 2
97s: 3
98s: 6
99s: 3
00s: 4

SBY:
96s: 3
97s: 4
98s: 6
99s: 4
00s: 1

Advantage: Sudbury, they have the older roster

NHL Drafted Players:

SBY:

Sokolov (MIN)

Sanvido (DAL)

Pezzetta (MTL)

Capobianco (ARI)

Yakimowicz (STL)

Dunda (STL)

OSH:

Stillman (FLA)

Advantage: Sudbury 6-1

Projected OSH Lineup:

F:

Henderson-McShane-Commisso

MacLean-Kohn-Huether

Manchurek-Studnicka-Krastenbergs

Antropov-Noel-Burt

D:

Mercier-Brassard

Stillman-Ennis

Allen-Di Carlo

G:

Brodeur

Projected SBY Lineup:

F:

Valentini-Levin-Sokolov

Pilon-Pezzetta-Pilon

Dunda-Carson-Yakimowicz

Lysczarczyk-Bulitka-Lane

D:

Sanvido-O’Grady

Jamieson-Capobianco

Wilkie-Lalonde

G:

McGrath